Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 98277.946598 103588.380799 108894.480727 114590.547706 120528.568380 126532.729121 133059.039836
2025-11-09 89238.361246 97330.037255 105637.007540 114791.795452 124586.976598 134742.287947 146056.017719
2025-11-16 83608.200598 93660.671932 104200.345891 116053.079492 128988.966934 142656.262424 158165.657966
2025-11-23 78421.477345 89863.378767 102074.898484 116042.137532 131538.696137 148168.110791 167325.096027
2025-11-30 75221.837504 87898.646328 101636.365208 117577.859460 135513.329102 155013.755156 177763.030338
2025-12-07 72210.516005 85890.481242 100921.529191 118591.816654 138721.734716 160864.364157 186985.431414
2025-12-14 68970.243299 83412.308587 99486.879071 118613.325295 140654.595235 165160.583372 194365.870234
2025-12-21 66269.524022 81396.263639 98435.740377 118937.356526 142814.690681 169623.052995 201870.039392
2025-12-28 64644.571751 80530.099300 98620.420090 120607.107257 146459.538602 175741.544032 211257.520004
2026-01-04 62922.626227 79453.388661 98475.632208 121817.986956 149513.707516 181144.687487 219810.309076
2026-01-11 61104.212751 78173.429076 98013.538041 122584.922179 151991.994082 185843.772668 227531.821721
2026-01-18 59161.828169 76660.619605 97199.769995 122865.101476 153838.791472 189765.838582 234324.958142
2026-01-25 57423.159019 75350.777779 96596.677072 123378.677544 155964.536591 194042.097870 241595.111600
2026-02-01 55550.885976 73810.360017 95656.521987 123433.950293 157502.577009 197601.942015 248017.846472
2026-02-08 54428.177098 73158.523413 95765.641481 124739.499690 160536.901455 202950.231861 256602.791814
2026-02-15 52725.420685 71714.546904 94840.939865 124721.088812 161914.300229 206277.353835 262744.540607
2026-02-22 51913.389623 71370.068607 95258.678031 126348.809424 165307.207824 212054.265362 271884.613228
2026-03-01 50891.682815 70717.291520 95256.189600 127424.016993 167999.996177 216976.145911 280000.475670
2026-03-08 49442.081662 69462.709321 94449.260957 127446.769270 169350.728759 220234.299183 286074.708452
2026-03-15 48209.817743 68453.140788 93919.843982 127790.433986 171081.021260 223949.936180 292718.325261
2026-03-22 47667.075885 68331.701001 94515.390453 129561.263343 174612.529674 229912.961342 302179.805215
2026-03-29 46943.002907 67943.212945 94744.323465 130845.283648 177520.372049 235105.881208 310708.064181
2026-04-05 46054.181676 67305.607638 94624.541525 131658.474779 179816.097753 239532.910511 318295.751747